Return on Equity & Quant Signal Update for Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (TSX:CMG), Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. (BIT:DAN)

Today we are spotlighting shares of Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (TSX:CMG) and looking at how the firm stacks up in terms of valuation by the numbers.  One of the most important ratios to look at when weighing an investment decision is the Return on Equity of the company.  At the time of writing Computer Modelling Group Ltd. has an ROE of 0.410811. With ROE, Investors can see if they’re getting a good return on their money, while a company can evaluate how efficiently they’re utilizing shareholder’s equity.

At times, investors may be prone to making impulsive or irrational decisions when it comes to the stock market. Finding a way to leave emotions out of important investing decisions can greatly assist the investor in achieving their goals. Investors who stay committed to a plan may be able to fight off emotional urges when certain situations arise. Investors may find it useful to rebalance the portfolio as opposed to chasing market performance when adjustments need to be made. Making sure the stock portfolio is aligned to suit the goals of the individual investor may play an important role in being able to consistently sustain profits well into the future.

Drilling down into some additional metrics, we note that Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (TSX:CMG) has a Price to Book ratio of 10.501331. This ratio is calculated by dividing the current share price by the book value per share. Investors may use Price to Book to display how the market portrays the value of a stock. Checking in on some other ratios, the company has a Price to Cash Flow ratio of 18.491331, and a current Price to Earnings ratio of 25.562419. The P/E ratio is one of the most common ratios used for figuring out whether a company is overvalued or undervalued.

After a recent scan, we can see that Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (TSX:CMG) has a Shareholder Yield of 0.062127 and a Shareholder Yield (Mebane Faber) of 0.06092. The first value is calculated by adding the dividend yield to the percentage of repurchased shares. The second value adds in the net debt repaid yield to the calculation. Shareholder yield has the ability to show how much money the firm is giving back to shareholders via a few different avenues. Companies may issue new shares and buy back their own shares. This may occur at the same time. Investors may also use shareholder yield to gauge a baseline rate of return.

The Return on Invested Capital (aka ROIC) for Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (TSX:CMG) is 0.611498.  The Return on Invested Capital is a ratio that determines whether a company is profitable or not.  It tells investors how well a company is turning their capital into profits.  The ROIC is calculated by dividing the net operating profit (or EBIT) by the employed capital.  The employed capital is calculated by subrating current liabilities from total assets.  Similarly, the Return on Invested Capital Quality ratio is a tool in evaluating the quality of a company’s ROIC over the course of five years.  The ROIC Quality of Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (TSX:CMG) is 10.127047.  This is calculated by dividing the five year average ROIC by the Standard Deviation of the 5 year ROIC.  The ROIC 5 year average is calculated using the five year average EBIT, five year average (net working capital and net fixed assets).  The ROIC 5 year average of Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (TSX:CMG) is 0.704475.

The Earnings to Price yield of Computer Modelling Group Ltd. TSX:CMG is 0.039120.  This is calculated by taking the earnings per share and dividing it by the last closing share price.  This is one of the most popular methods investors use to evaluate a company’s financial performance.  Earnings Yield is calculated by taking the operating income or earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and dividing it by the Enterprise Value of the company.  The Earnings Yield for Computer Modelling Group Ltd. TSX:CMG is 0.051860.  Earnings Yield helps investors measure the return on investment for a given company.  Similarly, the Earnings Yield Five Year Average is the five year average operating income or EBIT divided by the current enterprise value.  The Earnings Yield Five Year average for Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (TSX:CMG) is 0.067904.

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (TSX:CMG) currently has a Montier C-score of 1.00000. This indicator was developed by James Montier in an attempt to identify firms that were cooking the books in order to appear better on paper. The score ranges from zero to six where a 0 would indicate no evidence of book cooking, and a 6 would indicate a high likelihood. A C-score of -1 would indicate that there is not enough information available to calculate the score. Montier used six inputs in the calculation. These inputs included a growing difference between net income and cash flow from operations, increasing receivable days, growing day’s sales of inventory, increasing other current assets, decrease in depreciation relative to gross property plant and equipment, and high total asset growth.

At the time of writing, Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (TSX:CMG) has a Piotroski F-Score of 4. The F-Score may help discover companies with strengthening balance sheets. The score may also be used to spot the weak performers. Joseph Piotroski developed the F-Score which employs nine different variables based on the company financial statement. A single point is assigned to each test that a stock passes. Typically, a stock scoring an 8 or 9 would be seen as strong. On the other end, a stock with a score from 0-2 would be viewed as weak.

Shifting gears, we can see that Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (TSX:CMG) has a Q.i. Value of 33.00000. The Q.i. Value ranks companies using four ratios. These ratios consist of EBITDA Yield, FCF Yield, Liquidity, and Earnings Yield. The purpose of the Q.i. Value is to help identify companies that are the most undervalued. Typically, the lower the value, the more undervalued the company tends to be.

Volatility

Watching some historical volatility numbers on shares of Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (TSX:CMG), we can see that the 12 month volatility is presently 24.981400. The 6 month volatility is 35.904500, and the 3 month is spotted at 37.782900. Following volatility data can help measure how much the stock price has fluctuated over the specified time period. Although past volatility action may help project future stock volatility, it may also be vastly different when taking into account other factors that may be driving price action during the measured time period.

Individual investors often have a lot to deal with when surveying the stock market landscape. Choosing stocks based on recent performance may not work out as well as planned. Stocks that were winners last year, last month, or even last week, may not be winners next week, next month, or next year. Digging into the fundamentals can help the investor see what stocks are set up for future success. Taking multiple approaches when viewing a certain security may help the investor put the puzzle together and see the bigger picture. Staying current on economic data can also help the investor obtain a broader sense of what is driving present market conditions.

Placing Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. (BIT:DAN) shares under the microscope we note that the firm has a current Return on Equity of 0.031497.  Simply put, this ratio determines how well the firm uses investment funds to generate profit.  This ratio is often considered “the mother of all ratios” as it often reveals how well a company is operating.

When it comes to setting up a winning stock portfolio, many investors will select a wide variety of securities in order to minimize risk. This may include choosing a mix of small cap, large cap, value, and growth stocks. Many investors will also include foreign stocks in the portfolio as well. Once the portfolio is set up, investors may realize that they need to rebalance from time to time. Investors may find it extremely helpful to stay up to date and know exactly what holdings they have. When hard earned investing dollars are at stake, individuals may be best served to monitor the portfolio closely at all times. Putting in the extra time and effort to acquire stock market knowledge may help the investor become better prepared for the long haul.  

In additiona to ROE, investors might also take into consideration some other ratios.  One of the most popular ratios is the “Return on Assets” (aka ROA).  This score indicates how profitable a company is relative to its total assets.  The Return on Assets for Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. (BIT:DAN) is 0.012131.  This number is calculated by dividing net income after tax by the company’s total assets.  A company that manages their assets well will have a higher return, while a company that manages their assets poorly will have a lower return.

The Return on Invested Capital (aka ROIC) for Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. (BIT:DAN) is 0.047966.  The Return on Invested Capital is a ratio that determines whether a company is profitable or not.  It tells investors how well a company is turning their capital into profits.  The ROIC is calculated by dividing the net operating profit (or EBIT) by the employed capital.  The employed capital is calculated by subrating current liabilities from total assets.  Similarly, the Return on Invested Capital Quality ratio is a tool in evaluating the quality of a company’s ROIC over the course of five years.  The ROIC Quality of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. (BIT:DAN) is 2.775500.  This is calculated by dividing the five year average ROIC by the Standard Deviation of the 5 year ROIC.  The ROIC 5 year average is calculated using the five year average EBIT, five year average (net working capital and net fixed assets).  The ROIC 5 year average of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. (BIT:DAN) is 0.062183.

After a recent scan, we can see that Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. (BIT:DAN) has a Shareholder Yield of 0.006172 and a Shareholder Yield (Mebane Faber) of 0.02940. The first value is calculated by adding the dividend yield to the percentage of repurchased shares. The second value adds in the net debt repaid yield to the calculation. Shareholder yield has the ability to show how much money the firm is giving back to shareholders via a few different avenues. Companies may issue new shares and buy back their own shares. This may occur at the same time. Investors may also use shareholder yield to gauge a baseline rate of return.

Quant Scores

Checking in on some valuation rankings, Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. (BIT:DAN) has a Value Composite score of 19. Developed by James O’Shaughnessy, the VC score uses five valuation ratios. These ratios are price to earnings, price to cash flow, EBITDA to EV, price to book value, and price to sales. The VC is displayed as a number between 1 and 100. In general, a company with a score closer to 0 would be seen as undervalued, and a score closer to 100 would indicate an overvalued company. Adding a sixth ratio, shareholder yield, we can view the Value Composite 2 score which is currently sitting at 19.

Investors may be interested in viewing the Gross Margin score on shares of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. (BIT:DAN). The name currently has a score of 4.00000. This score is derived from the Gross Margin (Marx) stability and growth over the previous eight years. The Gross Margin score lands on a scale from 1 to 100 where a score of 1 would be considered positive, and a score of 100 would be seen as negative.

Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. (BIT:DAN) has a current MF Rank of 7889. Developed by hedge fund manager Joel Greenblatt, the intention of the formula is to spot high quality companies that are trading at an attractive price. The formula uses ROIC and earnings yield ratios to find quality, undervalued stocks. In general, companies with the lowest combined rank may be the higher quality picks.

Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. (BIT:DAN) has a current ERP5 Rank of 5833. The ERP5 Rank may assist investors with spotting companies that are undervalued. This ranking uses four ratios. These ratios are Earnings Yield, ROIC, Price to Book, and 5 year average ROIC. When looking at the ERP5 ranking, it is generally considered the lower the value, the better.

Price Index & Volatility

Stock volatility is a percentage that indicates whether a stock is a desirable purchase.  Investors look at the Volatility 12m to determine if a company has a low volatility percentage or not over the course of a year.  The Volatility 12m of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. (BIT:DAN) is 37.198500.  This is calculated by taking weekly log normal returns and standard deviation of the share price over one year annualized.  The lower the number, a company is thought to have low volatility.  The Volatility 3m is a similar percentage determined by the daily log normal returns and standard deviation of the share price over 3 months.  The Volatility 3m of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. (BIT:DAN) is 47.527500.  The Volatility 6m is the same, except measured over the course of six months.  The Volatility 6m is 35.635700.

Many individuals strive to become successful stock market traders. In reality, it can be very difficult for the average trader to stay afloat during the process of learning all the ins and outs the market. Of course there will always be those who happen to get lucky and end up making a lot of money in the stock market with little knowledge. There will also be a number of people who never experience any type of success trading the stock market. Learning how to properly manage risk and keep emotions in check may be two of the more important aspects of trading the equity market. Although there may be a trading strategy that works for one individual, it may not produce the same results when employed by another individual.

We can now take a quick look at some historical stock price index data. Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. (BIT:DAN) presently has a 10 month price index of 0.70716. The price index is calculated by dividing the current share price by the share price ten months ago. A ratio over one indicates an increase in share price over the period. A ratio lower than one shows that the price has decreased over that time period. Looking at some alternate time periods, the 12 month price index is 0.71491, the 24 month is 0.78282, and the 36 month is 1.08553. Narrowing in a bit closer, the 5 month price index is 0.77804, the 3 month is 0.75991, and the 1 month is currently 1.10807.